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Vplyv sentimentu správ na obchodovanie inštitucionálnych investorov na Forexe
Holá, Silvia
The bachelor thesis examines the impact of the irrational factor, the sentiment of economic and financial announcements, on exchange rates traded on the forex market. The framework of the paper is based on the theory of behavioral economics, drawing attention to the psychological aspects that explain the behavioral anomalies of investors. The analysis refers to the EUR/USD currency pair that institutional investors trade most often. The results of the paper indicate the economic inconsistency of sentiment, which points to the inappropriateness of including this irrational factor in investment decision.
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Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Deviations: The case of Zimbabwe and it’s five neighbouring countries (1997 – 2016).
Mudavanhu, Tinashe
Economic decline in Zimbabwe has manifested in several ways, one of which is in the form of persistent trade deficits. This is not unique to Zimbabwe alone, with trade imbalances also extending to its neighbouring countries. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether PPP deviations can be used to manage bilateral trade balances in such a way that parties concerned benefit from the trade proportionally. The literature review analysed research done on the validity of PPP theory in developing and developed countries all over the world. Studies generally confirmed that the long-run PPP holds strong for developed countries and weak for developing countries. The study makes use of secondary yearly data from international financial institutions and employs unit root tests and the Engle Granger cointegration test to investigate the Purchasing Power Parity theory. In addition, Granger causality tests were also performed on the observed deviations and trade balances to find out if a relationship is present. It was noted that PPP theory does not hold between Zimbabwe and its neighbouring countries (Botswana, Namibia, Zambia, South Africa, and Mozambique). As such, PPP deviations cannot be used to improve bilateral trade balances between Zimbabwe and its trading partners.
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The impact of the EU Financial Support on Economic Growth of the Czech and Slovak Regions
Kolaříková, Jana ; Wokoun, René (advisor) ; Piecha, Marian (referee) ; Buček, Milan (referee)
One of the goals of the economic, social and territorial cohesion is to reduce regional disparities between member states of the European Union. For this purpose the structural funds and the Cohesion Fund were established(among other things). The theoretical part of this thesis presents the issue of regional disparities and ways how to measure them. In view of the lack of consistent definition of this concept, there are number of measurement and evaluation methods. Furthermore, the work focuses on the implementation of cohesion policy and ways of measurement of their impact on development and growth of regions. The practical part of this thesis presents, evaluates and compares the regional disparities between the regions of the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic via selected methods and assesses the impact of the financial support provided from the Structural Funds and the Cohesion Fund in the programming period 2007 - 2013 on economic growth of regions in the Czech and Slovak Republics. Following indicators are included: gross domestic product, unemployment rate, gross fixed capital formation and the rate of economic activity. The influence of the subsidy on the economic growth of regions is validated through the panel data analysis, namely a panel model with fixed effects, and Granger causality test. First, we investigated the impact of this support on the economic performance of regions where it is verified whether there is a relationship between economic performance of NUTS III regions in the Czech and Slovak Republics, characterized by gross domestic product and the unemployment rate, and the amount of the subsidy. Furthermore, it is verified whether the amount of subsidy depends on the level of regional gross domestic product. Dissertation contributes to the discussion about the impact of support from EU funds in the Czech and Slovak Republics, focusing on the regional level, and answers the question of reducing regional disparities using the Structural Funds and the Cohesion Fund.
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Foreign Investment and growth of the regions of the Czech Republic in 1998 - 2011
Říhová, Gabriela ; Wokoun, René (advisor) ; Toušek, Václav (referee) ; Kunc, Josef (referee)
The dissertation analyzes the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on Economic Growth by extension and economic development of the regions of the Czech Republic (CZ) in 1998 -- 2011. Statistical data empirically study determined motivation of investors to locate in economically strong regions. Following the analysis of statistical data, available resources and a field survey, whose output includes three case studies of specific Foreign Investments in the Czech Republic, the analysis examines whether the arrival of a significant foreign direct investor in the region significantly influenced selected characteristics of economic performance, or other selected areas in region (social, environmental, transport etc.). Moreover, in the context of econometric analysis to test the tightness of the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth using Pearson's coefficient and characteristics of variability. The causal effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth (and vice versa) is analyzed using Granger causality test. The conclusion gives an assessment of the significance of Foreign Direct Investment in the regions of the Czech Republic together with the identification of significant effects brought by investments.
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Odhad potenciálneho produktu a produkčnej medzery v Českej republike a na Slovensku
Kolárik, Peter
This thesis has two goals. The first goal is to estimate potential output and output gap in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic by using Hodrick-Prescott filter. The second goal deals with dependence of stock markets, repre-sented by stock indices, and real output, represented by Gross Domestic Product in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic by using correlation analysis and Granger causality test.
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Determinace cen akcií komoditních společností cenami produkovaných komodit
Havíř, Tomáš
The thesis deals with the relationship between the stock prices of commodity companies and commodity prices produced by these companies. Each commo-dity was testing with three related companies. In this thesis was used various methods for testing. Namely Engle-Granger test of cointegration, the correlation analysis, Granger causality test and VAR-GARCH model for testing volatility spilloves between markets. Empirical results show that effect of commodity to shares is different for each group of commodities. The most evident effect appears at the impact of industrial and precious metals on mining companies and the effect of oil prices on the shares of the oil companies. In contrast, the prices of gas and agricultural commodities did not influence the prices of those commodities shares significantly.
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Alternative methods of estimating potential output and the output Gap: An application to Czech
Krasnovský, Pavol ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Kuncl, Martin (referee)
The text discusses some used methods for estimating potential product and output gaps based on aggregated data for the Czech Republic. Though these methods exhibit some common features, an empirical comparison demonstrates that the various techniques differ substantially. In particular, the correlation of output gaps calculated with different methods is generally low , the methods imply different turning points. To conclude, the methods for estimating potential product a used have only limited information content for macroeconomics.
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Theory of Endogenous Money and Contemporary Monetary Policy
Korda, Jan ; Jílek, Josef (advisor) ; Šindel, Jaromír (referee)
Diplomová práce hledá odpověď na otázku: jakou povahu má v současné době ? charakterizované určitým typem měnové politiky ? peněžní nabídka. Nejprve je provedeno odlišení pojmů endogenní a exogenní nabídka peněz. Dále jsou diskutovány různé přístupy k nabídce peněz. Zvláštní pozornost je věnována postkeynesovské teorii. Současná měnová politika je v práci reprezentována cílováním inflace. Endogenní přístup k nabídce peněz je poté porovnán s touto měnovou politikou. Odpověď na otázku se pokouší nalézt také ekonometrická analýza založená na Grangerových testech kauzality.
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